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QUICK LINKS
Our summary of developments in emerging market debt in April 2024 and outlook.
Since 2000, EM dividends have grown twice as fast as those in the rest of the world. We look at some of the companies leading the charge.
Against a backdrop of enduring inflation and interest rate increases in 2023, what’s next for private markets?
We try to make sense of the South African election, including what a potential coalition government might mean for investors.
Are you in search of corporate bond opportunities? Explore the credit landscape with us.
In the Clash of the major central banks, who will cut interest rates first and when? We share our views.
In the latest episode of the Emerging Market Equities podcast, David Smith joins Nick Robinson to discuss Asia’s energy transition.
We believe the longer-term inflation regime will be one of higher inflation volatility. This is likely to affect the bond/equity correlation, making portfolio diversification more challenging.
In the latest episode of our Macro Bytes podcast we focus on the impact of a strong US dollar for the US and other economies and whether this might change in future.
In our monthly macro video for May, Felix Feather, an economist in the Global Macro Research team, discusses why we think inflation will weaken this year despite a shifting consensus.
Paul Diggle, abrdn's Chief Economist, speaks to James McCann about the nature of “globalisation 3.0”, and what it means for the economic outlook and financial markets.
Geopolitical pressure and the pandemic-era meltdown in global supply chains could push governments and firms to reshore manufacturing. Mexico aside, it is hard to see a shift in the data so far, and a trend may only emerge with time.
In our latest Macro Bytes podcast abrdn's economists discuss the use of scenario analysis to help navigate uncertainty.
Strong growth in Q1 combined with data revisions imply that the authorities’ growth target of “around 5%” is now in sight. Policy makers may now temper the degree of additional support they provide, but the mixed data flow in March and still weak nominal environment imply further loosening remains on the cards.
In our Monthly Macro video for April, Paul Diggle, Chief Economist, discusses the ‘on-again, off-again’ prospects for economic ‘soft landings’ in the major economies.
Whatever the near-term path of inflation, increasingly frequent negative supply shocks mean the global economy has likely entered a new regime of structurally higher inflation volatility. This would likely push up risk premia and challenge standard portfolio diversification strategies.
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